Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 402.258903 456.141875 515.665206 586.483340 668.684004 761.375113 874.208057
2026-02-01 327.977427 400.405966 487.501856 600.729036 745.166647 924.762160 1167.330314
2026-02-08 281.830809 360.621565 460.676518 598.526265 785.814021 1034.727189 1396.186486
2026-02-15 247.346515 328.608598 436.429376 592.184182 815.126327 1128.469924 1612.563791
2026-02-22 224.338566 307.840126 422.923653 596.216657 856.003385 1239.947302 1867.591624
2026-03-01 201.909837 284.767015 402.720974 586.797504 874.076129 1317.840400 2080.768789
2026-03-08 184.787633 267.169313 387.950819 582.720655 898.222218 1406.160924 2322.122049
2026-03-15 165.983132 245.073623 363.965717 561.143524 890.979033 1441.473942 2476.830244
2026-03-22 159.141375 240.362177 365.812377 580.342768 952.138805 1598.021101 2871.621056
2026-03-29 153.886830 237.503971 370.049425 603.511934 1022.288517 1778.951270 3342.778504
2026-04-05 144.886276 227.770934 362.103779 604.817098 1053.396390 1892.303207 3699.804551
2026-04-12 134.423484 214.740947 347.461758 592.690792 1058.067737 1955.532574 3963.094948
2026-04-19 124.856616 202.671728 333.772933 581.519995 1064.421386 2025.281006 4259.186588
2026-04-26 120.376195 198.931056 334.193086 596.390911 1123.269914 2209.983342 4852.143110
2026-05-03 113.708485 190.811807 326.077517 594.102087 1147.132265 2324.233746 5301.788352
2026-05-10 107.097135 182.274243 316.459467 587.827819 1161.796600 2420.232179 5725.834794
2026-05-17 102.467047 176.947056 312.279132 591.824322 1198.564147 2570.959264 6323.071199
2026-05-24 96.518117 168.763100 302.060494 582.484884 1204.947805 2651.813187 6749.779521
2026-05-31 91.707349 162.363783 294.750202 578.442330 1222.651963 2762.304280 7284.636493
2026-06-07 85.267192 152.460200 279.903211 557.046310 1197.959371 2764.452816 7503.642802
2026-06-14 83.805555 151.997039 283.636588 576.084454 1270.633339 3025.086133 8570.831939
2026-06-21 82.788852 152.313581 288.929919 599.058172 1355.817217 3333.117162 9874.057996
2026-06-28 79.637345 148.188061 284.808260 600.352293 1387.301934 3500.621456 10756.948285